← Yolo Tcg Park East Malaysia Grand Archive Store Championship
Fire OblationTier 1
at Yolo Tcg Park East Malaysia Grand Archive Store Championship
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Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Aetherwing | 17.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.8% | +12.5 |
| Fire Slimes | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.3% | +11.7 |
| Fire Suited | 7.1% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 56.8% | +4.4 |
| Water Exia | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 7.1% | 3 | 2-0-1 | 83.3% | 64.3% | 57.6% | +5.6 |
| Water Whirlpool Mill | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 7.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 64.2% | +13.7 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.3% | +6.8 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 3.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.2% | +16.3 |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Diana | 3.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.9% | +3.1 |
| Water Neos | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.6% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 59.7% | +9.3 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Fire Oblation decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches (1 draw excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 28 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 28 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regal Inquisition | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Expel the Departed | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Heavenly Guide | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Liminal Guide | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Smoke Out | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Abnegation | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Carter, Synthetic Reaper | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Topsy Decree | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Golden Checkmate | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Angel Attendant | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Angelic Channeling | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Umbra Sight | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Flamewreath Call | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Varuckan Acolyte | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Advent of the Stormcaller | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Devouring Malice | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Rictus Tiding | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Prismspire Scepter | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Incapacitate | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reduce to Ash | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Undeniable Truth | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Flamme Sorcel | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ionized Asceticism | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Annul Spell | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |